Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2117.059063 2305.748628 2498.218526 2708.940862 2932.862930 3163.417221 3418.448361
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1839.479520 2119.847670 2417.730607 2756.646964 3130.393633 3528.817231 3984.489393
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1634.456722 1965.753104 2328.626489 2753.252425 3234.106571 3759.363316 4374.061979
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1461.840754 1824.881387 2233.120628 2722.369438 3288.822417 3920.128295 4672.855100
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1354.365533 1746.393122 2197.338847 2748.838983 3399.342439 4136.470451 5028.908026
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1249.075074 1660.704270 2144.372734 2747.097743 3470.205288 4302.018027 5322.976613
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1185.840506 1620.034656 2139.859256 2798.306436 3599.907970 4533.914099 5693.658839
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1095.786621 1539.536659 2081.089937 2778.504487 3640.097259 4656.884398 5933.929197
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1053.859992 1516.517657 2090.419248 2839.843143 3777.075176 4894.838788 6311.933177
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 996.344268 1469.442501 2066.132680 2856.346442 3856.773138 5062.476773 6605.302861
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 938.109017 1417.766338 2032.740362 2858.442354 3916.293710 5204.139040 6866.766426
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 848.925612 1319.466368 1934.149692 2772.370803 3860.637552 5200.450550 6947.200685
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 833.285550 1321.875422 1968.842094 2860.961774 4030.216715 5481.191572 7385.938251
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 803.938672 1303.533617 1974.693594 2911.131099 4150.729125 5701.779944 7752.526275
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 757.488672 1258.241975 1941.701351 2907.589269 4199.970886 5831.501453 8005.213588
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 704.706148 1200.830148 1889.332784 2875.401536 4209.494053 5909.110578 8191.280429
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 675.670844 1176.657588 1881.771505 2902.989620 4297.461004 6087.472268 8506.539030
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 639.257651 1139.418036 1853.987097 2901.174880 4345.009824 6213.028259 8754.418967
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 622.226934 1130.701619 1866.199392 2954.540386 4467.005618 6436.353895 9130.091130
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 584.348587 1087.669160 1826.933421 2933.905576 4487.126606 6525.261144 9331.300932
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 573.058146 1085.792573 1847.419497 2997.819422 4623.301566 6768.242255 9735.226980
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 549.464996 1062.983789 1835.852888 3015.013239 4694.591311 6925.188449 10027.240498
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 523.250532 1034.539039 1814.625361 3017.196775 4744.323318 7053.159433 10281.581860